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Strategic Resilience: M&A in a Volatile Global Economy

January 2026

In a global economy defined by rapid shifts and geopolitical complexity, strategic resilience has become the primary lens for M&A decision-making. Acquirers are prioritizing assets that offer supply chain security, technological sovereignty, and inflation protection.

The Shift Toward Defensive M&A

The M&A playbook has evolved from purely offensive growth-seeking to a more balanced approach that emphasizes resilience. Companies are using acquisitions to "de-risk" their operations—securing critical supply lines, localizing production, and acquiring redundant capabilities in stable jurisdictions. This defensive posturing is driving deal activity even in traditionally volatile sectors.

Technological Sovereignty as a Deal Driver

Control over core technologies—from semiconductors to energy storage—is now a major strategic objective. We are seeing an uptick in "sovereignty-driven" transactions, where companies and state-linked entities acquire key IP to reduce dependence on external providers. This trend is particularly evident in sectors deemed critical to national and economic security.

Resilient Valuations for Mission-Critical Assets

While overall market multiples have faced pressure, valuations for "mission-critical" assets remain robust. Businesses with high barriers to entry, strong pricing power, and essential roles in global value chains continue to command premiums. Investors are willing to pay for the stability and predictability that these resilient assets provide.

The Role of Agile Integration

In a volatile environment, the ability to integrate acquisitions quickly and flexibly is a major competitive advantage. "Agile integration" frameworks—which prioritize rapid cultural alignment and core capability protection over immediate synergy realization—are becoming the new standard for successful deal execution.

Strategic resilience is not just a defensive posture—it's a proactive strategy for long-term value creation. In the M&A landscape of 2026, the most successful dealmakers are those who can identify and acquire the building blocks of future stability.